Rai Choudhuri, Arnab ; Chatterjee, Piyali ; Jiang, Jie (2007) Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model Physical Review Letters, 98 (13). 131103_1-131103_4. ISSN 0031-9007
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Official URL: http://prl.aps.org/abstract/PRL/v98/i13/e131103
Related URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.131103
Abstract
Whether or not the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by "feeding" observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21-23 reasonably well and predict that cycle 24 will be about 35% weaker than cycle 23.
Item Type: | Article |
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Source: | Copyright of this article belongs to The American Physical Society. |
ID Code: | 66547 |
Deposited On: | 24 Oct 2011 08:21 |
Last Modified: | 18 May 2016 14:02 |
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