Influence of vegetation on the ITCZ and South Asian monsoon in HadCM3

Abstract

The role of extra-tropical vegetation on the large-scale tropical circulation is examined in the version 3 Hadley Centre Climate Model (HadCM3). Alternative representations of present day vegetation from observations and a dynamic vegetation model were used as the land-cover component for a number of HadCM3 experiments under a nominal present day climate state, and are shown to induce perturbations to the simulated global dynamics. This results in a shift in the location of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and changes in the South Asian monsoon circulation. This has a significant impact on the Indian land precipitation compared to the standard configuration of HadCM3. This large-scale forcing is consistent with documented mechanisms relating to temperature and snow perturbations in the Northern Hemisphere extra-tropics. This analysis demonstrates that uncertainties in the representation of present day vegetation cover can result in significant perturbations to the simulated climate. The role of the Northern Hemisphere extra-tropics is further demonstrated with a fourth representation of vegetation cover produced by imposing simulated changes in Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical vegetation from the end of the 21st century on the present day climate. This experiment shows that through similar processes extra-tropical vegetation changes in the future contribute to a strengthening of the South Asian monsoon in this model, with a particular influence on the monsoon onset. These findings provide renewed motivation to give careful consideration to the role of global scale vegetation feedbacks when looking at climate change and its impact on the tropics and South Asian monsoon in the latest generation of Earth System models.