Verma, Mahendra K. ; Asad, Ali ; Chatterjee, Soumyadeep (2020) COVID-19 Pandemic: Power Law Spread and Flattening of the Curve Transactions of the Indian National Academy of Engineering, 5 (2). pp. 103-108. ISSN 2662-5415
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Official URL: http://doi.org/10.1007/s41403-020-00104-y
Related URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s41403-020-00104-y
Abstract
In this paper, we analyze the real-time infection data of COVID-19 epidemic for nine nations. Our analysis is up to May 04, 2020. South Korea, China, Italy, France, Spain, and Germany have either flattened or close to flattening their epidemic curves. USA and Japan have transitioned to a linear regime, while India is still in a power-law phase. We argue that the transition from an exponential regime to a succession of power-law regimes is a good indicator for flattening of the epidemic curve. We also argue that lockdowns, long-term community transmission, and the transmission by asymptomatic carriers traveling long distances may be inducing the power-law growth of the epidemic.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Source: | Copyright of this article belongs to Springer Nature Switzerland AG. |
| ID Code: | 118887 |
| Deposited On: | 03 Jun 2021 11:44 |
| Last Modified: | 03 Jun 2021 11:44 |
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