Predicting the 1998 Indian parliamentary election

Karandikar, Rajeeva L. ; Payne, Clive ; Yadav, Yogendra (2002) Predicting the 1998 Indian parliamentary election Electoral Studies, 21 (1). pp. 69-89. ISSN 0261-3794

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An account is given of the methods used to predict the results of the 1998 Indian parliamentary election by a team from the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, Delhi. The special features of the Indian party and electoral system and the election-night context as they relate to the problem of election forecasting are discussed. The methods developed for the polling of the Indian electorate and for forecasting the composition of the parliament from the sequence of results declared are presented.

Item Type:Article
Source:Copyright of this article belongs to Elsevier Science.
Keywords:Indian General Election; Prediction; Opinion Polls
ID Code:18413
Deposited On:17 Nov 2010 09:14
Last Modified:04 Jun 2011 08:14

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