Is Meteorology a Factor to COVID-19 Spread in a Tropical Climate?

Abstract

It was speculated that fewer COVID-19 infections may emerge in tropical countries due to their hot climate, but India emerged as one of the leading hotspot. There is no concrete answer on the influence of meteorological parameters on COVID-19 even after more than a year of outbreak. The present study examines the impacts of Meteorological parameters during the summer and monsoon season of 2020, in different Indian mega cities having distinct climate and geography. The results indicate the sign of association, but it varies from one climatic zone to another. The principal component analysis revealed that humidity is strongly correlated with COVID-19 infections in hillocky city Pune (R = 0.70), dry Delhi (R = 0.50) and coastal Mumbai (R = 0.46), but comparatively weak correlation is found in arid climatic city of Ahmedabad. As against the expectations, no discernible correlation is found with temperature in any of the cities. As the virus in 2020 in India largely travelled with droplets, the association with absolute humidity in the dry regions has serious implications. Clarity in understanding the impact of seasonality will greatly help epidemiological research and in making strategies to control the pandemic in India and other tropical countries around the world.